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Weighted Average Cost of Capital
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Capital Asset Pricing Model
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Dividend Growth Model
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Here’s what else to consider
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How do you estimate the opportunity cost of capital for a new investment? This is a crucial question for any business that wants to make sound capital budgeting decisions. The opportunity cost of capital is the rate of return that you could earn by investing your money in the best alternative project with similar risk and duration. It reflects the trade-off between the present and the future value of your money. In this article, we will explain how to estimate the opportunity cost of capital for a new investment using three common methods: the weighted average cost of capital, the capital asset pricing model, and the dividend growth model.
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1 Weighted Average Cost of Capital
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the average rate of return that a company pays to finance its assets. It is calculated by multiplying the cost of each source of capital (such as debt, equity, or preferred stock) by its proportion in the total capital structure, and then adding them up. The WACC represents the minimum rate of return that a company must earn on its investments to satisfy its creditors and shareholders. To estimate the opportunity cost of capital for a new investment using the WACC, you need to adjust it for the risk and the tax benefits of the new project. For example, if the new project is more risky than the average project of the company, you need to increase the WACC to reflect the higher required return. Similarly, if the new project has tax advantages, such as depreciation or interest deductions, you need to reduce the WACC to account for the lower after-tax cost.
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2 Capital Asset Pricing Model
The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is a widely used method to estimate the cost of equity, which is the rate of return that shareholders demand to invest in a company. The CAPM assumes that the cost of equity is equal to the risk-free rate plus a premium for the systematic risk of the company. The risk-free rate is the rate of return that you can earn by investing in a riskless asset, such as a government bond. The systematic risk, also known as the beta, measures how sensitive the company's stock price is to the movements of the market. The market premium is the difference between the expected return of the market and the risk-free rate. To estimate the opportunity cost of capital for a new investment using the CAPM, you need to estimate the beta and the market premium of the new project. For example, if the new project is more exposed to market fluctuations than the average project of the company, you need to use a higher beta and a higher market premium to calculate the cost of equity.
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3 Dividend Growth Model
The dividend growth model (DGM) is another method to estimate the cost of equity, which is based on the expected dividends and growth rate of a company. The DGM assumes that the cost of equity is equal to the dividend yield plus the growth rate of dividends. The dividend yield is the ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current stock price. The growth rate of dividends is the expected annual percentage increase in dividends. To estimate the opportunity cost of capital for a new investment using the DGM, you need to forecast the dividends and the growth rate of the new project. For example, if the new project is expected to generate higher and more stable dividends than the average project of the company, you need to use a higher dividend yield and a higher growth rate to calculate the cost of equity.
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4 Here’s what else to consider
This is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add?
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